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22,000+ Days and Counting

My Lifetime Wake-Ups

Phase Zero – The War That’s Already Started (And We’re Pretending It Hasn’t)

Posted on October 23, 2025October 19, 2025 By Don MacLeod

I’ve read a lot of headlines designed to shock. Most don’t stick.
But this one from The U.S. Sun stopped me cold: Russia is in “Phase Zero” of World War III.

Not “preparing for.”
Not “considering.”
Already in it.

The term comes from the Institute for the Study of War — smart, sober analysts, not the internet’s usual conspiracy crowd. “Phase Zero” means the groundwork is already being laid: drones, espionage, cyberattacks, sabotage, unmarked soldiers, and psychological operations. The quiet, invisible part of war that creeps in before a single shot is fired.

And that’s what makes it so terrifying — because this isn’t theory. It’s happening now.

Drones, Borders, and the Return of the “Little Green Men”

The story that lit this up: armed men in unmarked uniforms appearing on Estonia’s border — a NATO frontier. That’s straight out of Crimea, 2014.
Estonia shut part of its border immediately. Officials didn’t hesitate. They knew the playbook.

Meanwhile, Russian drones have been spotted near airports in Denmark, Poland, and Romania. Fighter jets are testing the airspace. Cyberattacks on major European hubs like Heathrow and Brussels. None of it is random. It’s choreography — a pressure campaign meant to probe reactions and expose cracks.

One analyst called it “the informational and psychological conditioning phase.” Translation: we’re the lab rats in a real-time rehearsal for war.

The Part That Keeps Me Up at Night

What scares me most isn’t that Russia’s doing it. The West still thinks this is “hybrid tension” instead of the opening act of something darker.
If “Phase Zero” is the setup — the quiet destabilization, the information fog, the plausible deniability — then what comes next won’t arrive with a declaration. It’ll arrive mid-scroll, in the middle of a typical Tuesday.

We’ve seen this movie before — just in analog form: propaganda, disinformation, slow-motion invasions. The difference now is speed and reach. One viral post can shape public opinion faster than a tank column.

And Putin knows that. Hell, he’s counting on it.

Why This Isn’t “Someone Else’s Problem”

Even if you live oceans away, this story matters. Because modern war doesn’t need geography — it just needs Wi-Fi. Cyberattacks can shut down airports, hospitals, and financial systems without a single missile launch. The front line isn’t a map anymore; it’s your phone.

So when I say this story scares the hell out of me, it’s not hyperbole. It’s recognition.
This is how wars start in the digital age: slowly, invisibly, and with everyone pretending it’s not happening until it is.

Credit

Original reporting: The U.S. Sun (Juliana Cruz Lima, Oct 13, 2025).
Analysis referenced: Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

Apocalypse Culture Media War cold war 2.0cyberattacksdigital warfaredon macleoddronesestonia bordereurope conflictglobal securityhybrid warfareinformation warfareinstitute for the study of warnatophase zeroputinrussiaus sun

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